
If Washington and Beijing Make Peace on Trade, What Happens to India’s China+1 Opportunity? For several years, one of the most repeated phrases in global manufacturing has been “China+1.” The idea is simple: companies that have traditionally depended heavily on China add another manufacturing location — and India, Vietnam, Mexico and several other economies have competed for that additional role. But what happens if the world’s two largest economies decide to make their relationship somewhat less confrontational? That question has suddenly become more relevant. Chinese President Xi Jinping is visiting the United States from September 23 to 25, at the invitation of US President Donald Trump, with the two leaders expected to discuss trade and broader strategic issues. Current reporting points to negotiations involving tariffs, critical minerals, technology and artificial intelligence. The answer for India is not simply “good” or “bad.” A US-China thaw could reduce one of the immediate incentives for companies to diversify away from China. But it would not automatically erase the longer-term reasons businesses have been building additional supply-chain capacity outside China. For India, that distinction could become crucial. The first part of the China+1 story was tariffs US tariffs have been a powerful reason for
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